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4th Quarter 2021 Tampa Bay Office Market Report and 2022 Forecast

Important Highlights:

Tampa Bay:

  • Office space leasing has been increasing rapidly close to what it was pre-pandemic 
  • The unemployment rate in Tampa Bay decreased to 4.9 % in December of 2021 and is expected to decrease even more in 2022
  • Average direct asking rentals are up .5 percent from last quarter, soon to be back at pre-pandemic rates
  • Rent is up 28% in the Tampa Bay Area 

Let’s Talk Rent Numbers:

Submarket Overall Average Asking Rent-All Classes Overall Asking Rent Class A
Westshore $33.43 Sq. Ft.  $28.04 Sq. Ft. 
Downtown Tampa $40.56 Sq. Ft.  $47.89 Sq. Ft. 
Northwest Tampa $24.01 Sq. Ft.  $28.92 Sq. Ft. 
South Tampa $23.33 Sq. Ft.  N/A
I-75 Corridor $ 24.88 Sq. Ft.  $28.23 Sq. Ft. 
Downtown St. Petersburg $31.45 Sq. Ft.  $32.77 Sq. Ft. 

2022 1st Quarter Forecast: 

  • Confidence in the Tampa Bay market is high, going into the last quarter of 2022 amid sustained new-to-market tenancy.
  • Tenants will proceed to bring their teams back to the office more so in 2022
  • By 2022 remaining new construction space with many buildings is expected to be over 60% leased. 

What does this mean for Tenants?

  •  Managing market expectations in key areas where office vacancies are higher than in Tampa Bay. Due to lower vacancy rates than key markets such as New York and Los Angeles, landlords in Tampa Bay are not as driven to replace vacancies as they are in other areas of the country.
  • Use available sublease space to take advantage of the market conditions we do have, which can give more reasonable rates, shorter terms, and any available furnishings.

What does this mean for Landlords?

  • To acquire a competitive advantage against Landlords who retain their face rates, evaluate concessions for tenants by changing asking rents and increasing Tenant Improvement Allowances. 
  • Make lease terms more flexible. 
  • Expect a surge of new products to hit the market. Tenants from other states are growing or migrating to Tampa. 
  • Start marketing available space 6 with a longer lead time for office space that will become available in the near future.
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Downfalls of Subleasing Office Space

Subleasing office space can offer a more superior building at a lower monthly rent, providing the Tenant the ability to be in the building they desire without the hefty price tag, flexibility of a shorter term and even use of existing furniture. 

There are rights a Tenant, who decides to sublease their space, gives up when subleasing their space. These “rights” are usually located in the “Sublease” clause in the lease between the Landlord and Tenant. 

Two main examples of building signage and an option to renew the lease. 

  1. Right of building signage is more common for a Tenant who is leasing at least a full floor of a building. 
  2. Renewal options are more common in every lease. A renewal could say, “Tenant has a one time option to renew their lease at the current market rate.” If the Tenant decides to sublease their space, majority of the time, the option of the renewal is not passed through to the Sublease. 

What does this mean for a Subtenant?

Any terms that were agreed upon for a renewal, the Subtenant does not have a right to and is subject to whatever the current market rate and how the Landlord is marketing the building. 

There are two potential issue could arise when not having a renewal option:

  1. A Tenant in the building could have First Right of Offer to the said sublease space at the end of the term, this Tenant has first position and priority over the Subtenant, to lease the space.
  2. The current market rate could be higher than the Subtenant’s budget. If the Subtenant would like to move into a relationship as Tenant to the Landlord but cannot afford a direct deal the Subtenant will have to relocate. 

 Having a Tenant Representative can bring clarity when evaluating the best decision for your business to choose a sublease or a lease a space directly

 

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How Office Space Can be Used to Hire and Retain Employees

Tenant lounge and shared areas started trending in Tampa around 2017. In commercial real estate we say, “if you build, they will come.” Landlords who wanted to fill and maintain buildings started using this to leverage office buildings to be used as a competitive advantage to gain and retain Tenants. When Covid first hit, these building amenities were shut down for a period of time and thankfully up and running again.

Companies that are facing hiring challenges and desire to bring their folks back to the office are looking for ways to stand out amongst their competitors and create an environment their team wants to experience. Gone are the days of giving lunch on Fridays and maybe a ping-pong table will cut it for “workplace culture”. Maintaining a holistic community focus is an imperative factor to accomplish both goals.

 

Where is the office building located?

The first factor in a holistic community is where the office building is located. When selecting sites ask yourself the following:

  • “Is my team already driving here?” I.e., is a grocery store nearby, popular gyms, and other stores? When companies are requiring their employees to come to the office, being located where employees plan on running errands is convenient for cities like Tampa where most folks are individually commuting.

 

  • “Is the building easy to access?” i.e., is located on major highways like i-275, Veterans Expressway, and i-4. Folks have been used to not commuting to work and being able to minimize the commute time is a lifestyle preference.

 

  • “Does my team feel safe and comfortable in the surrounding environment?” We all know when the time changes in Tampa and the sun is setting at 5:30 pm, there still can folks working past 5:00 pm whom you want to ensure are comfortable walking to their car if they are in the office later.

 

Does the inside and outside of the building support a healthy and happy lifestyle?

Tenants want to look for buildings with amenities like an onsite gym, workout classes, and outside community spaces. Tampa Bay is surrounded by water, we have outside-friendly weather the majority of the year and have the best sunsets in the entire country. Looking for buildings that incorporate an outdoor design and other wellness-oriented amenities into projects creates a flexible feel for employees to recharge and alternative workspaces to boost focus and productivity. Some great examples to look for is wifi outside, walking path, and even yoga classes offered before work or during the lunch hour.

In a day and age where finding and maintaining the right people is tough, having a holistic approach with your office space will give companies the edge needed to win the right people who align with their company.

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3rd Quarter 2021 Office Market Indicators and Report

Important Highlights:

Tampa Bay:

  • Within the last 5 quarters, office space leasing has been increasing rapidly.
  • Tampa Bay Wave ranked #1 in Florida for the organization with the greatest number of startups receiving investments!
  • The unemployment rate in Tampa Bay increased to 5.0% in October 2021, compared to the end of 2nd Quarter 2021, which was approx. 4.6%. 
  • Average direct asking rentals are down 2.5 percent year over year, owing mostly to re-pricing in certain availabilities that have been on the market for more than a year. In contrast, several Class A buildings in Westshore raised their asking prices to $42.00 per square foot, bringing them closer to pre-pandemic values.
  • For the sixth year in a row, Florida has been rated first in net migration. According to the United States Census Bureau, Florida gained the most inhabitants between July 2019 and July 2020, with 252,717 additional residents.

Office Market:

  • Office vacancy rates increased in Hillsborough County and Pinellas County to around 12% but have remained fairly constant. 
  • Both Class A and Class B building’s rents grew more than 2%, placing Tampa in the top 15 markets in the US with average office rentals of more than $25 per square foot. 
  • Absorption trended negative for the quarter and remains negative year-to-date, but several submarkets recorded positive quarterly absorption.
  • Westshore submarket which leads in year-to-date absorption with over 140,000 s.f. Nearly all the quarter’s negative absorption took place in the Northwest Tampa submarket.

 

Let’s Talk Rent Numbers:

Submarket Overall Average Asking Rent-All Classes Overall Asking Rent Class A
Westshore $34.42 Sq. Ft.  $38.57 Sq. Ft. 
Downtown Tampa $41.26 Sq. Ft.  $45.48 Sq. Ft. 
Northwest Tampa $24.96 Sq. Ft.  $27.11 Sq. Ft. 
South Tampa $24.16 Sq. Ft.  N/A
I-75 Corridor $ 25.19 Sq. Ft.  $28.23nSq. Ft. 
Downtown St. Petersburg $30.55 Sq. Ft.  $30.88 Sq. Ft. 

Construction Highlights: 

  • The 380,000 s.f. was completed this quarter at 1001 Water Street in Tampa. Additionally, 500,000 s.f. was delivered earlier this year at SkyCenter One, Midtown West, and The Lofts at Midtown, all in the Westshore submarket.

2021 4th Quarter Forecast:

  • Confidence in the Tampa Bay market is high, going into the last quarter of 2021 and into 2022 amid sustained new-to-market tenancy.
  • Total vacancy is expected to remain the same through the rest of 2021
  • Tenants will slowly proceed to bring their teams back to the office 
  • By mid-2022 remaining new construction space with many buildings is expected to be over 50% leased.

What does this mean for Tenants?

  •  Managing market expectations of primary markets that are experiencing higher office vacancies than Tampa Bay. Landlords in Tampa Bay are not motivated in the same way that they are in other parts of the country to replace vacancies due to the lower vacancy rates than primary markets such as New York and Los Angeles. 
  • Take advantage of market circumstances we do have by making use of available sublease space, which can offer more reasonable rates, shorter terms, and any available furniture.

What does this mean for Landlords?

  • Evaluate concessions for Tenants by adjusting asking rents, higher Tenant Improvement allowances to gain a competitive edge over Landlords who maintain their face prices
  • Provide more flexible lease terms 
  • Expect an increase of new to market Tenants are expanding or relocating to Tampa from other states
  • Start marketing available space 6 with a longer advanced lead time for office space that is coming available
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All You need to Know About Operating Expenses In Office Space Lease

 

What Are Operating Expenses In Office Space Lease?

Operating Expenses are the expenses to operate the building. The Landlord has an annual budget and typically reconciles by June of the following year. A good Landlord stays within or close to their budget each year. Depending on the type of lease structure (Full Service, Modified Gross, or Triple Net) determines if a Tenant is just responsible for the pass thru only or the entire Operating Expense. Read more about the three most common lease structures here.

Why does this matter?

When you sign a new lease your base year is established. You always want the highest base year. Why? Each Tenant is responsible for any pass thru overage from the Landlord based on the prorated percentage of their sf of their suite being leased in the building. Having the highest base year minimizes the amount of this potential pass thru.

How can we evaluate the consistency of the Landlord operating within or close to the Operating Expense budget?

  • During Lease Proposal negotiations, requesting the two previous year’s Operating Expenses budgets and reconciliation will be a good indicator of the Landlord’s budgeting consistency.
  • Once the Landlord’s consistency is verified, a strategy to minimize any potential pass thru is to cap the controllable operating expenses i.e. management fee, cleaning, improvements on the building, etc. We discussed the importance of reviewing the Operating Expense reconciliation here. We once saved a Tenant tens of thousands of dollars who had been overcharged for a few years by a Landlord “passing thru” expenses that were not application to the Tenant’s lease. Reconciliation is one of the more overlooked areas of fiscal stewardship when leasing office space.

The above is just scratching the surface of what is entailed in Operating Expenses.
Having a Tenant Representative on your side will give you an advantage when evaluating operating expenses in different buildings. Give our team at Office Space Brokers a call 813-289-3700, for a complimentary consultation to strategize your company’s office space.

Types of Leases

There are typically three primary types of real estate leases, each with its own set of benefits and drawbacks. You must read the lease specifics thoroughly so that you know what to expect in any circumstance. Full Service, Modified Gross, and Triple Net leases are the three most frequent forms of leasing.

Full Service: 

A lease form in which the landlord is liable for all of the property’s operational expenditures.

Modified Gross: 

In which the tenant pays a flat rate for the space.

Triple Net:

Where The Tenant pays all the expenses of the property to the landlord.